Rents Continue to Rise as House Prices Fall
Lack of growth in the housing market
continues to effect residential rents, which are now outpacing wage growth in
Auckland and Wellington. For the first time in a while, gross rental yields are
rising in more areas than they are falling across New Zealand, as investors
seek to capitalise on their properties without relying on capital gains. There
are some significant regional differences, however, with rents in Canterbury
hardly moving as wages continue to rise.
The market for residential investment
properties is at a turning point, at least according to interest.co.nz's Rental
Yield Indicator from the end of March. This indicator is based on REINZ's lower
quartile selling price for three bedroom houses in 56 locations around the
country, which are compared to the median rent for three bedroom houses in the
same areas. Rental yields rose in 25 of the monitored locations, with yields
falling in 21 locations and unchanged in 10. This is a big shift from the last
indicator from December 2017, which saw figures of 17, 28, and 11 respectively.
If this indicator is anything to go by,
capital gains are becoming a less important feature of the market compared to
rental growth. This fact is highlighted when you break down the data according
to location, with bigger cities generally slowing down before regional markets,
and also experiencing the biggest rental increases. The trend was particularly
noticeable across the Auckland region, where rental yields rose in five of the
locations monitored, declined in just two, and were unchanged in three.
Rents are also rising compared to wages
according to Interest.co.nz's latest quarterly review. On a national basis, the
average rent for all new tenancies was $446 a week, up $23 or 5.4 percent over
the year. Over the same period, the average pay packet rose from $929.84 a week
to $960.87, an increase of $31.03 a week or 3.3 percent. The average rent in
Auckland increased $23 or 4.4 percent a week between the first quarter of 2018
and 2017, with the average net pay going up $33.63 or 3.4 percent over the same
period.
The situation is even more pronounced in
the Wellington region, where rent rises have been outstripping pay increases
for a while. Between the first quarters of last year and this year, the average
rent in Wellington increased from $470 a week to $506, up $36 or 7.7 percent.
In comparison, average after tax pay increased from $1014.73 to $1045.62 over
the same period, an increase of just $30.89 a week or 3 percent. In the last
two years, Wellington rents have increased by $65 a week, while average take
home pay has increased by just $52.04 a week.
The situation is not the same everywhere,
however, with rents hardly moving in Canterbury as wages continue to go up. The
average rent in Canterbury was $446 a week in the first quarter, an increase of
just $8 a week compared to the year before. Take home pay in the region has
increased by $30.20 a week, however, and by $45.42 since the first quarter of
2016. With the New Zealand market expected to see more cooling over the next
few months, more investors will be looking to increase rental yields rather
than focus on capital gains.
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